Boston fans are likely waking up happy this morning. Both the Red Sox and the Patriots made improbable comebacks last night. According to Fangraphs, ┬áboth team’s chance of winning bottomed out at around four percent:

The odds of two teams with a 4% chance of winning both winning is 0.16%. Not 16%, but 0.16%, or to put it in words, it would happen once about every 625 opportunities.


Source: Advanced NFL Stats

Source: FanGraphs

So, Boston’s day essentially boiled down to this: