Boston fans are likely waking up happy this morning. Both the Red Sox and the Patriots made improbable comebacks last night. According to Fangraphs,  both team’s chance of winning bottomed out at around four percent:

The odds of two teams with a 4% chance of winning both winning is 0.16%. Not 16%, but 0.16%, or to put it in words, it would happen once about every 625 opportunities.


Source: Advanced NFL Stats

Source: FanGraphs

So, Boston’s day essentially boiled down to this: