Why I’m not buying the Denver Broncos as Super Bowl favorites

After a 2-3 start, the Denver Broncos are on an 11 game winning streak. They have the #1 seed in the playoffs, and the best odds of any team to win the Superbowl.

However, of those 11 games, only two were against playoff teams (they beat Baltimore and Cincinnati).  Their three toughest games on the schedule all fell within the first 5 weeks of the season, and they lost each and every time (to 13-3 Atlanta, 12-4 Houston, and 12-4 New England).   The Broncos may well have been getting better as the season went on, but they also could have just been taking advantage of a favorable schedule.  I don’t see how a team can be considered the favorite if it lost all three games it played against elite competition.

For comparison, lets take a look at the squad with the second best Superbowl odds, New England.  The Patriots went 2-1 in their three most difficult games, beating 13-3 Denver and 12-4 Houston, and losing to 11-4-1 San Francisco.

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